Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.979989 1.144480 1.321366 1.524951 1.752003 1.996649 2.279376
2025-04-06 0.696371 0.922004 1.187610 1.519466 1.918916 2.380128 2.948554
2025-04-13 0.525943 0.782952 1.111377 1.551973 2.116979 2.806365 3.699253
2025-04-20 0.401297 0.668401 1.036884 1.563679 2.277111 3.188635 4.417798
2025-04-27 0.312324 0.579448 0.975307 1.574584 2.425694 3.556437 5.133019
2025-05-04 0.242443 0.500827 0.911289 1.566904 2.539181 3.876499 5.796172
2025-05-11 0.184550 0.426251 0.838156 1.531453 2.602746 4.124551 6.367909
2025-05-18 0.147950 0.379274 0.799508 1.540212 2.725864 4.456480 7.064523
2025-05-25 0.113111 0.325515 0.738921 1.503588 2.772502 4.675772 7.607220
2025-06-01 0.092222 0.294609 0.713101 1.519644 2.898840 5.014213 8.330341
2025-06-08 0.072971 0.261167 0.676069 1.510230 2.980492 5.286085 8.963594
2025-06-15 0.064696 0.252449 0.686503 1.586256 3.206589 5.787322 9.953538
2025-06-22 0.055428 0.238766 0.685710 1.643663 3.409199 6.268128 10.942515
2025-06-29 0.042531 0.209456 0.645760 1.621747 3.473593 6.534497 11.617960
2025-07-06 0.034777 0.192885 0.631636 1.648798 3.625377 6.947263 12.533830
2025-07-13 0.027642 0.174819 0.610226 1.657929 3.744252 7.310173 13.383234
2025-07-20 0.021921 0.158829 0.590606 1.667958 3.864169 7.678313 14.251534
2025-07-27 0.016775 0.141716 0.564113 1.659326 3.947062 7.985987 15.031328
2025-08-03 0.012070 0.122581 0.527157 1.622004 3.970786 8.191786 15.650840
2025-08-10 0.009355 0.111539 0.511250 1.631046 4.084898 8.556803 16.539716
2025-08-17 0.006509 0.096143 0.477529 1.592709 4.100308 8.747621 17.144579
2025-08-24 0.005033 0.088415 0.466866 1.609474 4.228019 9.140757 18.095323
2025-08-31 0.003617 0.078773 0.446811 1.599622 4.298982 9.433415 18.883837